Credence Sports · A product of Penumbra Partners

Frequently asked questions

How Credence works — the mechanisms, the definitions, and the limits. For why any of it exists, read About; for what actually happened, read the record.

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Frequently asked questions

About Credence

Fantasy football

Betting intelligence

Trust and methodology

Frequently asked questions

About Credence

What does Credence Sports actually do?

What does probabilistic sports analytics mean?

Why does Credence show uncertainty when other sites show one number?

What sports does Credence cover?

Fantasy football

How are Credence rankings different from consensus rankings?

Are rankings customized for my league?

What scoring formats are supported?

Why are Credence's projected points lower than other sites'?

Why can a player's Credence rank differ from where he is being drafted?

What does the projected range mean?

What is free, and what does a membership cover?

Can I use Credence for more than one league?

Betting intelligence

What is the difference between Model % and Market %?

What market are the MLB probabilities compared against?

What does "our models agree" mean?

Does model-market disagreement mean there is an edge?

What is the featured MLB read on the home page?

What does Expected Value mean on the EV tracker?

What does "Preliminary" mean?

What does projected vs. confirmed lineup mean?

How often are predictions updated?

Is this automated betting?

Is sports betting legal?

What happens when a game is postponed?

Trust and methodology

Does Credence claim to beat the betting market?

Where can I see the record?

Does Credence publish losing results?

How are the models built?

How does Credence evaluate a new model?

What happens when a model fails its evaluation?

How do I report a data issue?