Betting intelligence · Fantasy decision tools
The number is only half the answer.
MLB betting intelligence and fantasy football decision tools built to show you what the models expect, how confident they are, and what to do with that information.
Built for your league, not a generic one
Half-PPR, full-PPR, superflex, custom bonuses — every projection and ranking is recomputed for your settings, not converted from someone else's.
Where our model differs from the market, and by how much.
Every game, every day: our probability, the de-vigged market consensus, the gap between them, and the range around our estimate. We grade every one of them against the market afterwards — losses included.
Today's featured model-vs-market read
Daily edge, quantified.A demonstration, not a recommendation. We look at the games where our two independent models land in close agreement with each other, and feature the one where our number sits furthest from the market's — on the moneyline or on the total, usually alternating between them so you see both. Whichever it is, it says so. You get our probability, the market's, the distance between them, and the range around our estimate.
Sports models that admit what they don't know.
That is a standard of evidence, not a slogan, so here is what it commits us to. Each of these is something you can check on the site rather than take on trust.
Every projection ships with an 80% range and every game probability with a credible interval. A wide one means we genuinely do not know, and we would rather show that than round it into a confident-sounding number.
Every MLB pick is scored against the market consensus after the game, and every past fantasy season is scored against what actually happened — one row per player, wins and losses both, over the whole set rather than a chosen subset.
The factors moving a projection or a probability are on the page, with what each one added or removed. You can disagree with us and see exactly where.
A model that does not clear the gates we set for it before we looked at the answer gets closed out, in the changelog, with the reason. Several have been.
What is live, and what is next
- MLBBetting intelligenceLive
- NFLFantasy rankings and decision toolsLive for the 2026 season
- NCAAFBetting intelligenceComing this season
- NFLBetting intelligenceComing this season
The two that are coming are the same product as the MLB one: model projections, the market's number beside them, and the record kept in the open. They are analysis rather than an assurance of results — no model here has demonstrated a durable advantage over the closing market, and we will say so plainly on the day one does.
Common questions
See allStart with the free half.
The NFL rankings and the full fantasy track record are open to anyone, no account required. A membership adds the daily MLB card and its scorecard, and the draft, trade, waiver and start/sit calls in your league's own scoring.
Everything here is analysis, published for information only. It is not financial advice, and you are solely responsible for any wager you choose to place.